Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 2.935601 3.528546 4.193092 4.990475 5.918511 6.961680 8.220069
2025-06-01 2.063730 2.806597 3.729706 4.950424 6.510218 8.423355 10.932518
2025-06-08 1.556451 2.352339 3.431127 4.976407 7.104627 9.900046 13.810208
2025-06-15 1.205555 2.001568 3.166129 4.953101 7.574996 11.220155 16.594091
2025-06-22 0.905371 1.644071 2.805297 4.704170 7.655153 11.971690 18.637620
2025-06-29 0.730877 1.438606 2.624525 4.674695 8.022533 13.135562 21.345156
2025-07-06 0.597392 1.269333 2.464827 4.640619 8.357719 14.259878 24.071683
2025-07-13 0.539979 1.224341 2.504840 4.936930 9.248592 16.314345 28.393595
2025-07-20 0.474120 1.147247 2.471240 5.093334 9.911762 18.051144 32.341922
2025-07-27 0.429747 1.103984 2.491932 5.346280 10.762286 20.160009 37.051483
2025-08-03 0.366859 1.005519 2.386052 5.341059 11.140149 21.488240 40.545153
2025-08-10 0.297615 0.875084 2.190517 5.128245 11.100965 22.074048 42.795834
2025-08-17 0.236627 0.750200 1.986960 4.874591 10.964708 22.493651 44.830325
2025-08-24 0.201282 0.682570 1.899937 4.854846 11.287567 23.781855 48.523121
2025-08-31 0.174384 0.630889 1.840827 4.887092 11.717775 25.304401 52.755115
2025-09-07 0.149065 0.576372 1.764062 4.866440 12.031309 26.622516 56.692738
2025-09-14 0.118709 0.496039 1.603955 4.622107 11.828939 26.898912 58.649790
2025-09-21 0.101438 0.453348 1.536312 4.593339 12.100278 28.147513 62.582153
2025-09-28 0.086664 0.414369 1.470996 4.559873 12.354999 29.377855 66.556570
2025-10-05 0.082995 0.416233 1.526405 4.851685 13.403064 32.353129 74.243492
2025-10-12 0.075888 0.402180 1.530699 5.005723 14.134663 34.701063 80.783915
2025-10-19 0.071630 0.398647 1.567544 5.254848 15.122220 37.671176 88.788273
2025-10-26 0.062386 0.370014 1.517264 5.249707 15.475260 39.267402 93.999901